Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.065944 0.078000 0.091509 0.107747 0.126721 0.148172 0.174247
2025-05-04 0.047827 0.063498 0.083037 0.109111 0.142913 0.185165 0.241896
2025-05-11 0.037493 0.054490 0.077521 0.110840 0.157612 0.220707 0.312024
2025-05-18 0.031330 0.049081 0.074848 0.114677 0.174338 0.259947 0.391565
2025-05-25 0.025086 0.042022 0.068155 0.110988 0.178915 0.281791 0.448497
2025-06-01 0.021162 0.037635 0.064475 0.110816 0.188097 0.310820 0.519040
2025-06-08 0.017858 0.033572 0.060496 0.109257 0.194411 0.335607 0.585386
2025-06-15 0.015882 0.031409 0.059258 0.111929 0.207817 0.373110 0.676667
2025-06-22 0.013691 0.028433 0.056063 0.110538 0.213731 0.398311 0.749541
2025-06-29 0.011705 0.025478 0.052409 0.107658 0.216356 0.417727 0.814009
2025-07-06 0.009990 0.022757 0.048755 0.104164 0.217196 0.433714 0.873635
2025-07-13 0.009114 0.021642 0.048118 0.106538 0.229686 0.472820 0.981250
2025-07-20 0.008186 0.020279 0.046818 0.107477 0.239659 0.508698 1.087836
2025-07-27 0.007341 0.018959 0.045419 0.108016 0.248904 0.544284 1.198240
2025-08-03 0.006675 0.017945 0.044538 0.109554 0.260468 0.585895 1.325819
2025-08-10 0.006229 0.017391 0.044627 0.113310 0.277415 0.640726 1.487585
2025-08-17 0.005406 0.015713 0.041769 0.109656 0.276865 0.657411 1.567833
2025-08-24 0.004875 0.014715 0.040425 0.109484 0.284462 0.693025 1.694318
2025-08-31 0.004345 0.013614 0.038646 0.107943 0.288503 0.720880 1.805964
2025-09-07 0.004057 0.013159 0.038490 0.110583 0.303286 0.775479 1.986304
2025-09-14 0.003639 0.012235 0.036919 0.109209 0.307599 0.805389 2.110468
2025-09-21 0.003218 0.011217 0.034921 0.106362 0.307657 0.824816 2.210933
2025-09-28 0.002828 0.010220 0.032822 0.102908 0.305609 0.838685 2.298905